Probability has a popular meaning that is not the same as the mathematical meaning. As a small-business owner, you may act on hunches, guesses and instincts. After such actions, you might even say you ...

The probability of the inverted yield curve ending by February 9, 2024, is 32.8%, compared to 20.4% last week. There is a 23.4% probability of negative 3-month bill rates by February 5, 2027. The ...

The Treasury curve was down 2 basis points at 2 years and was down 8 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread widened to negative ...